sweep all nine of the major battlegrounds from ohio to iowa, colorado, nevada. a bold prediction. he may reach 300 electoral votes. that's bold prediction for final hours. they believe he will win it. >> election ed, thank you for being here on "the five." greg, to you first. the crowd situation. i was watching romney today. people waiting in line. last night, people were complaining they got frostbit frostbite. mitt romney gathering crowds with himself. when you are president obama you bring out jay-z and springstein. >> greg: saying i'm a lousy president but i'm cooler than the other guy. look at the brainless celebrities i'm talking to. the other guy talks policy. point out a maxim. never trust a man over 50 who still has an earring. people that he surrounds himself, they dress like aging pirates. you are an adult. thigh think they are outlaws. >> dana: it's like watching a male enhancement pill ad. if i looked at anyone else, i might get embarrassed. jay-z, the lyrics, talk about the war on recommend. i'm not going to be specificbe, i am letting people rhyme. britches and clothes

-46. colorado, they have romney up by 3. 50-47. but a cnn poll has 50-48, obama. nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that? joining us now from boston, david. he directs polling. >> he want to run it down from your point of view. you have canvassed the whole country, know what's going on. ohio, how do you see it? >> i see it really close. if you look at the last four polls, it's one point. 1 through 8 the poll was average four to five points. what we look at is the head-to-head number. the last three consecutive polls, excluding the two you mentioned

, north carolina, michigan, nevada, pennsylvania, virginia, and wisconsin. bob, i point out dana referenced a column, who thinks it will be 315 to 223 for obama and rollins was in the green room and he said he is the best in the business and he has never gotten it wrong. what do you make of that prediction in bob: it is significant. but he has gotten it wrong a few times. if i were in, and he is doing what he is doing, now, he clearly has a side and i would look at the happy side, the happy side from my side and right now obama is ahead in eight of the 11 target points. >> but democrats trail in target states i mentioned but especially virginia, ohio, iowa and nevada. early absentee voting is not where it was for democrats in 2008. >> we had a thing back and forth and every single one of these is a toss up. each one. including pennsylvania. but, tomorrow, mitt romney 8 be in virginia, virginia, ohio, and new hampshire. look at states, and he has virginia, he has to work on ohio, and new hampshire is a toss up. bob: why he is going there? >> he has to win. obama will be in wiscons

take a look. if president obama wins nevada, iowa and pennsylvania, nevada, iowa, and pennsylvania, and let's say mitt romney wins colorado, new hampshire, and florida. new hampshire, colorado, that leaves three toss-ups. wisconsin, ohio, and the old dominion. so if the candidates split, ohio and wisconsin, neither one of them gets to the 270 electoral votes needed to win without virginia. and the final nbc news wall street journal poll before this election, it shows virginia in a statistic call tie. back to you. >> the following two breaking stories tonight. a commuter train hit and killed a person. no word on what led to the identity of the victim. shuttles have been taking some passengers to their death nations. delays are not expected to have an impact on the commute in the morning. >>> a 75-year-old man was critically injured in an apartment fire. and firefighters found him in the basement of the apartments on generals highway in crownsville. the cause of this fire is still under investigation. >> tonight, a father is facing charges after his 4-year-old child fell on the high-

, virgin, florida, ohio, wisconsin, colorado, nevada, and if you put that through the grinder, you come out with one state, ohio. is that true? but you have nevada which is leaning towards obama and wisconsin is still leaning towards obama. ohio, is my view, is in dispense able. >> where did you read that nevada is leaning towards obama. >> i haven't seen a poll are romney leading first. it's one-third hispanic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here's the point i want to make. the polls today are regarded at microscopically perfect, you and i know, say ten years ago when you were still doing this show because of your tenacity, and because of my leniency. >> 0 years ago. >> 20 years ago, 30, polls were regarded as a rock makes, these polls today have -- as approximation, these polls today are -- >> there is money to be made. >> one or two -- [ talking over one another ] >> i hate to see this come to an end. >> polls are not that precise. >> if they weren't that precise, why do politicians spend that much

the battleground blitz in wisconsin, nevada, and colorado. when he makes his final campaign stop in des moines, iowa, at a rally with the first lady, that's the only stop that she joins him on. the president will have visited eight of the nine battleground states. the one that he's not going to is north carolina. the 2012 presidential election could hinge on this, will the firewall of iowa, ohio, and wisconsin hold up? and you only have to look at the president's travel over the last five days of the campaign to find out that's where the campai campaign believes the race will be decided. one of them has to be the state of ohio. the president has events in ohio four out of five days on the trail. he stopped in iowa, wisconsin, and colorado two times, each will be in florida and virginia, new hampshire, nevada just once before this campaign is over. today the president will begin laying out what aides say is his closing argument, making a stronger case for government. he will point to the way forward to real change. it will say this apparently in his stump speech that will create a st

two windows. with races all tied up in places like nevada, arizona and montana, north dakota, wisconsin and connecticut, it could be a nail-biter on tuesday night. >>> and it will be a nail-biter waiting for the presidential election results. we're two days out and experts are predicting a very long election night. the president's senior advisory says mr. obama and mr. romney are in neck, so he expects tallying of voting results to go well into the morning. a poll has the president just one point ahead of romney, 48% to 47%. and for a look at what states could make all the difference in the outcome... >> reporter: california almost certain to vote for president obama. voters in the red states almost certain to go for governor romney. arizona and north carolina leaning romney. new mexico, minnesota and pennsylvania are leaning obama. so what do you have left? true toss-up states, we will color them yellow. nevada, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, ohio, virginia, new hampshire, and florida. and check out how close the latest polling numbers are in the yellow swing late. in ohio, mayb

thursday is looking wet and colder in the sierra nevada this will translate into snow. the national weather service already potioned a winter weather advisory. five to ten inches of snow expected 59,000, gusty -- at 5,000 feet. tomorrow afternoon, warm. on the peninsula, 77 in millbrae. mountain view, 80. 75 on the coast and pacifica. a warm day. daly city, sunset district, mid-70s, south city, downtown san francisco, 77. north bay, the fog is getting closer. 73 at bodega bay. east bay, temperatures close to today's levels. 79 in oakland. inland, you'll feel the warmth again. 80 concord. for the monterey bay, warm 76-degree day in monterey, could see records. the election day looking great. cooler wednesday. cold showers thursday, may see thunder and lightning and small hail. a few showers on friday, and then keying cold conditions expected the morning over the weekend with cool conditions during the day. temperatures will take a good 20-degree drop from tomorrow to friday and saturday. mike is here 4:30 to 7:00 with any changes. >> dan: coming up next, the famous cross missing for

colorado. but obama looks to have nevada locked up despite the awful unemployment situation in that state. our pal larry sabato teaches at the university of virginia is predicting an obama win, 290 electoral votes to romney's 248 if obama -- if obama is the winner, that tally sounds about right. but carl rove sees it the opposite way. mr. rove will be here in a moment. of course dick morris continues to maintain that romney will win big. carrying pennsylvania and ohio, which would assure a romney victory. both morris and sabato will be on this program wednesday. again, i cannot make a prediction tonight. it pains pee. i don't like it. but i have to be honest. i can't do it. because even at this late date, some americans could still vote either way. both candidates still have a fighting chance. and that's the memo. next on the run down. the aforementioned carl rove will tell me how tragically wrong i am or something. and then, krauthammer, hume, powers, march will all weighen in n. on the fact tour tomorrow. we'll be right back. >> bill: what will happen in the presidential vote tomorrow.

tonight. the president returned to the campaign trail yesterday, visiting wisconsin, colorado and nevada. and those are his first events since sandy struck. mitt romney will spend part of today in ohio. he will start the day in wisconsin. he'll deliver what aides call his closing argument. from there, he heads to ohio and rallies in columbus, and cincinnati. >>> today, your last chance to vote early in maryland. polling centers open from 8:00 this morning until 9:00 tonight. early voting was supposed to end earlier this week. it was extended through earlier today since polling centers were closed monday and tuesday. vote early through tomorrow in the district. polling centers open until 9:00 p.m. today and tomorrow. >>> good news for new yorkers in the dark after hurricane sandy. con edison, the utility company that serve much of manhattan says power should be fully restored by tomorrow. a quarter million businesses and homes are without power. many of them near manhattan, meals and bogs battled bottled will be distributed. >> yesterday, the mta reopened the system with limited service,

. in most of these states, in particular in iowa and nevada, democrats have it locked up with early vote. in ohio they have a good position with early vote, but it depends on who turns out. republicans are coming out in big numbers in the rural areas, and the question i think for democrats is, how do we do in those urban areas, it particular the top ten counties? the thing i would like to stress is, you know, when you have an election that is this close and it's pretty obvious to say that the obvious, but it is going to be turnout, and democrats have got to be really focused and that is individual democrats coming out to vote. do not believe that this thing is over by any stretch of the imagination. this is going to be a very tight election. >> who doesn't believe that at this point, chris? >> you know, i sometimes hear when i see these pundits talk about their forecasts about what the election is going to be, i get it. if you look at the real clear politics averages, you can make that prediction. i'll make that prediction and think president obama will win. when you have so many po

irregularities. let's start in nevada where the clark county republican party saying someone is sending out fake robo calls under the name the republican conservative caucus, and they are endorsing democrats. meanwhile in las vegas authorities have arrested a woman for allegedly voting twice. they say that roxanne ruben voted a week ago today and tried to do it a later in the week. she is a registered republican. in oregon a county clerk is under investigation for ballot tampering. the clerk is suspected of filling in the blanks that voters left empty on their ballots. oregon's secretary of state kay brown is sending in election monitors. >> i want or bega organ citizenoregon citizens to know we are taking this very seriously. >> in ohio there are questions about this vacant lot. it turns out 18 people are registered to vote from here. the owner of the lot tells us a trailer park was taken out three years ago. the ohio integrity project has challenged those because they believe they could be used for voter fraud. >> it makes me angry that nobody has done anything about this. the more we

wet snow. i know it sounds early and it is. battleground states looks fine in nevada, 70s and 80s, colorado with 60s and sun shine here. maybe rain, eastern iowa, wintry mix, northern wisconsin, 40s and 50s. cold in new hampshire, but dry and sunny. virginia may be not too bad. back into florida, jacksonville and orlando could be looking at showers and storms. the rest of the state won't be an issue. today 25 to 35. chilly tomorrow around 50. nor'easter wednesday 5. potential wintry mix wednesday night. let's go to man cay at 5:17. timesaver traffic. >> thank you, howard. if you are planning to head over to the beltway, overall generally things are looking good. you see that red forming there, that is because of a deer struck right before you get to route 202 right after the split here along the left side of the roadway. already slowing things down. keep that in mind, although it is against the rush hour. let's take a live look over in oxen hill on the beltway, traffic moving well here, if you are heading to the wilson bridge, it looks pretty much like this as well. back over to o

we'll be waiting to see what in fact naps nevada and especially in colorado. >> i agree with you. once we get ohio, once we know ohio, then we've got to look out west. they need something else to go over the top. but we'll also be there late because of the senate. i don't expect we'll know senate control until after we see north dakota, and montan as well. >> arizona. >> and arizona as well. we've got a late and i think exciting night ahead. but some of these, especially all of these states, too, that we've been talking about, their counts are going to come in over the course of a couple of hours. so we'll have some suspense building there. >> schieffer: let's take a little break here and we'll come back and talk about this some more. we'll be back in a minute. they have teachers... ...with a deeper knowledge of their subjects. as a result, their students achieve at a higher level. let's develop more stars in education. let's invest in our teachers... ...so they can inspire our students. let's solve this. >> schieffer: this race has been close from the very beginning, but stu you

candidate's spending $22 million, $8 million in outside money. nevada, $18 million. independent line, good morning. who is going to win? caller: i think that mr. obama is going to win, but i had three points to make and i would like you to pick one. beer summit, take one for the team, or buyer's remorse. can you pick one? host: i will let you pick. my job is to get to the phone calls. caller: let me have all three, then. host: go ahead. caller: mitt romney will never have a beer summit, he will never mediate. nothing will ever happen like that, first of all. he does not drink. take one for the team? i do not think he would take one for the team. i think he would make america team america. he would make team america take one for him. his religiosity, he may want to force that on america when we are not ready. also, the buyer's remorse. i wrote down the we would be darned if we do and donned if we do not. we will wind up with more gridlock and the republicans will wind up with mr. obama anyway. host: ok. "washington post," the annual crystal ball addition. we are taking off from that and ask

you make of colorado, nevada, iowa, new hampshire? >> well, look, the easiest way to look at this is even if you look at the real clear politics average which includes a lot of the goofy quinnipiac poles and marist polls. the republicans are winning, indiana,, north carolina, virginia and florida. in fact, if you take a look at that all of the mccain states plus 30s that they are waning and i do think they are going to win, republicans are going to win all four of these states. is they are at 248. then you look at ohio which i think the early vote numbers are clear indication of of what is going to happen in ohio. that s another 18 electoral votes. and then colorado which is, you know, is in the rcp average just under water, 9/10 of a percent. but that is largely because of a couple of outliar polls that have huge numbers more democrats than republicans. i think we are going to win colorado and that gets you 275. and we are going to pick up out of ohio, new hampshire, nevada or minnesota, pennsylvania or wisconsin we are going to pick up something else as well, i think. >> sean: s

casey is going to hold. >> ohio? >> you skipped on me. >> nevada. >> nevada. close but to dean heller. >> all right. next one? >> ohio. it's closed up but brown wins. >> does he outperform the president by what, two points? >> i don't know. >> yeah, yeah. >> if you were to guess, it's going to be a tight race? >> florida, nelson beats mak. then we get to virginia. >> where are you there? >> i guess i would give kane maybe a tiny finger on the scale. >> give it to blue? >> i don't know. >> we'll put it there for now. that gets us through the presidential toss-ups. let's go to the red states if you will. these are a ton of great states. >> flake wins. >> montana, that's scary. everybody, both sides say it's really too close. >> the libtarian candidate is going to make the winning number. >> it could. >> i guess he gets a couple. this guy john tester up a point or two and the question is does that save him? let's do edge tester. >> all right. next one? north dakota right next door. >> berg wins. it's very very close. >> the same way you feel about montana. >> yeah. >> not quite as close.

at 257. of the remaining states on the board between nevada, iowa, wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania, new hampshire, what is the best scenario that you see, or maybe the more likely scenario to get him from 257 to a minimum of 269? >> iowa, new hampshire. bill: okay, we'll give him iowa with 6 electoral votes and new hampshire checks in at 4. and would put him at 267. >> right. bill: you. bill: you still have nevada, wisconsin, michigan. is the most likely scenario there, is it wisconsin or what would you argue? >> wisconsin or nevada. i know that nevada is going to be very close, the democrats have got even about the base number that they need for a lead in early voting, but republican enthusiasm as am in the cow counties is high. it's going to be a narrow victory for either side. i think the most likely is nevada and wisconsin. bill: what is the likely scenario for the president? he's going to three different states today. he's at 201, okay. so if he were to go to wisconsin, ohio, and iowa just today, so give him wisconsin, iowa, and the state of ohio, he's at 237. so on the remain

? it is a bet to close. nevada, colorado, ohio, wisconsin, ohio, virginia, new hampshire, and florida. check out how close these numbers are in the swing states. ohio could be the most important state with 50%, mitt romney, 427%. and in virginia, commit amitt romne- and the same in florida and the same and you hampshire. new hampshire, wisconsin, ohio and iowa, and the president leads in these states but it is in with them at a margin of error. and definitely meant romney is within striking distance. >> as a reminder we will have election night extended coverage on tuesday at 8:00 p.m. in stay updated on our website www.kron4.com facebook and twitter. we have a developing story out of land and the rescue helicopter went down in flames we will be back ah. fire bad! just have to fire roast these tomatoes. do you churn your own butter what? too? this is going to give you a head start on your dinner. that seems easier sure does who are you? [ female announcer ] new progresso recipe starters. five delicious cooking sauces you combine with fresh ingredients to make amazing home-cooked meals

deal of sunshine. now in the battleground states on election day, nevada into colorado look at that nice sunshine there. 83 vegas, 16 in denver. western iowa looks fine. in dubuque looks wet and chilly. around 40 ohio. no excuses there for voting. same in new hampshire. it will be cold in 30s and 40s, wilmington and asheville and even charlotte may be looking at rain before the day is over. in western florida the weather looks good, jacksonville down to orlando. wet showers and thunderstorms on election day. 52 today, tonight 20s and 30s. tomorrow around 30 on election day. wednesday nor'easter, 45. there is potential, not saying it is set in stone, but want you to be aware that late wednesday night we may get wintry weather we'll have to deal with. look at this, we are going to warm up nicely. we should be back well into the 60s. the heart walk saturday morning, looking forward to that. monika, time save traffic? >>> traffic moving really well this morning. traffic is good on the beltway, we are going to zoom in on the northbound side from triangle all lanes are open. in fact a liv

looking wet and colder in the sierra nevada this will translate into snow. the national weather service already potioned a winter weather advisory. five to ten inches of snow expected 59,000, gusty -- at 5,000 feet. tomorrow afternoon, warm. on the peninsula, 77 in millbrae. mountain view, 80. 75 on the coast and pacifica. a warm day. daly city, sunset district, mid-70s, south city, downtown san francisco, 77. north bay, the fog is getting closer. 73 at bodega bay. east bay, temperatures close to today's levels. 79 in oakland. inland, you'll feel the warmth again. 80 concord. for the monterey bay, warm 76-degree day in monterey, could see records. the election day looking great. cooler wednesday. cold showers thursday, may see thunder and lightning and small hail. a few showers on friday, and then keying cold conditions expected the morning over the weekend with cool conditions during the day. temperatures will take a good 20-degree drop from tomorrow to friday and saturday. mike is here 4:30 to 7:00 with any changes. >> dan: coming up next, the famous cross missing for two year

end, so your thursday is looking wet and colder in the sierra nevada this will translate into snow. the national weather service already potioned a winter weather advisory. five to ten inches of snow expected 59,000, gusty -- at 5,000 feet. tomorrow afternoon, warm. on the peninsula, 77 in millbrae. mountain 80. 75 on the coast and pacifica. a warm day. daly city, sunset district, mid-70s, south city, downtown san francisco, 77. north bay, the fog is getting closer. 73 at bodega bay. east bay, temperatures close to today's levels. 79 in oakland. inland, you'll feel the warmth again. 80 concord. for the monterey bay, warm 76-degree day in monterey, could see records. the election day looking great. cooler wednesday. cold showers thursday, may see thunder and lightning and small hail. a few showers on friday, and then keying cold conditions expected the morning over the weekend with cool conditions during the day. temperatures will take a good 20-degree drop from tomorrow to friday and saturday. mike is here 4:30 to 7:00 with any changes. >> dan: coming up next, the famous cross miss

. we'll start out west, nevada and colorado. gorgeous sunshine. 70s, low 80s in las vegas. fantastic in colorado. sunshine, temperatures in the 60s. 65 with sunshine in denver. that's really pretty nice. we'll move up to wisconsin and iowa. a little different story here. not a huge storm. these folks are pretty hardy. a little bit of light rain and or snow mixed in wisconsin. maybe 40 milwaukee. i think des moines will stay dry. i think we'll have sunshine in western iowa. that's pretty good. ohio fantastic. chilly but sunshine. 40s across the board except for cincinnati. sunshine and 53. now we'll go up into new hampshire. this is a golfing day for these folks. this is very nice. sunshine in berlin, 35. mid-40s in southern new hampshire. pretty nice day. even virginia and north carolina were okay. we'll be dry in virginia. dry in the most part in north carolina. 48 in leesburg. low 50s in richmond. rain could inch into western north carolina and charlotte before some of the polls end of the for the most part a dry, dry day. florida it's what you might expect. 60s and 70s and 80s. dry i

of the strike against raley's grocery store in northern california and nevada. the walkout began after contract talks broke out. the issues are medical benefits, elimination for premium for working on sunday and a proposed pay freeze. >> okay with the freeze. we want to keep what we have and keep the medical that we have with the union but nent to take that away. basically, when we retired, they probably -- we have no medical. >> raley's says it needs to cut costs like most companies because of the growing number of stores selling groceries. this is the first strike in the 77-year history of the company. >>> 4:41 now. you might be feeling a little less pain at the pump. how much gas prices actually dropped overnight. >> plus, a trip to a zoo takes a tragic and deadly turn. how a toddler fell into an animal enclosure. >>> people climbed the steps of the willis tower in chicago. what makes this guy's trip a little bit different. we'll share it with you when we come back. ,,,, tower... but he *is the fit to do it with a bionic leg. amputee zac vawter made hisy bed >>> he is not the